Hawzah News Agency- Al-Mokha is not merely a historic port on the Red Sea coast. It is a strategic passage in southwestern Yemen, a link between the coast and the mountainous depths of Taiz and Ibb governorates, and a symbol of the last presence of the aggression coalition in western Yemen.
The liberation of this port represents the beginning of a cascading collapse process for provinces under the control of Saudi and Emirati occupation tools—a process that, based on the inherent logic of attrition wars, cannot be reversed.
When any field structure—like the case of Riyadh and Abu Dhabi's proxies—lacks internal legitimacy and relies exclusively on two pillars: external air support and financial funding, cutting or weakening these two pillars inevitably leads to a cascading and accelerating collapse. The moment of its beginning may be difficult to predict, but its trajectory and end are almost inevitable.
Perhaps the most important prospective aspect of this analysis is the transformation of Bab al-Mandab's status in the equations. At the beginning of the war, the strait and Yemeni islands were a tool for the Saudi coalition for naval blockade and controlling Sana'a's supply lines. But the balance of power around this tool has changed to a deterrence card in Sana'a's hands.
Sana'a has repeatedly proven that it possesses a principled and calculated position toward global trade and does not obstruct neutral navigation. But for the enemies of the Yemeni people and the platforms of siege, this passage will not be safe. Bab al-Mandab and the Arabian Sea will not be a place for maritime trade for the enemies of the Yemeni people.
The passage that was once a tool for pressuring Yemen to besiege it has now become a tool of pressure on the besiegers.
This transformation will have profound consequences: redefining Yemen's role in global energy artery security, elevating Sana'a's status from a besieged local player to an influential pole in Red Sea and northern Indian Ocean security, and recalibrating major powers' calculations in southern Arabia—because no international player sees its interests in a long conflict with a power that controls one of the world's most vital passages.
Based on this, the likely future is drawn as follows: continued collapse of provinces under the control of aggressor states from Hadramout and Shabwa to Marib, Al-Jawf, and Mahra, in parallel with extending control over Bab al-Mandab, Mayun, and Yemeni islands including the strategic Socotra Island, and connecting to the Omani border strip, the Arabian Sea, and the Indian Ocean—reaching the complete unification of territory and political decision.
Facing this reality, the continuation of war for Saudi Arabia is nothing but accelerating loss, and accepting it, the more delayed, becomes more costly.
The conclusion of this analysis ends with one strategic truth: the time has come to accept the Yemeni people's will in achieving political unification. It is certain that the Sana'a government will declare a general amnesty to end hostility—not from a position of weakness, but from a position of strength.
With a prospective view of a post-peace tomorrow, when Sana'a's strategic priorities shift from confrontation to state rebuilding: reconstructing destroyed infrastructure, returning the displaced, healing the wounds of the siege, and establishing a unified and independent state on a strait with which the fate of global trade is linked.
The new Yemen will not be a besieged country but a link between the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean, a decisive player in confronting the arrogance of trans-regional powers, the Zionist enemy entity, and the disruptive schemes of the UAE and Saudi regimes, and an influential state in the new regional order.
Source: Al Masirah
Your Comment